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This book is the research result of the "Economic Forecasting and Economic Policy Evaluation" of the Philosophy and Social Sciences Innovation Project of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences. In recent years, the project team members have been engaged in the construction of China's macroeconomic model, the tracking analysis and prediction of China's economic situation, and the simulation and evaluation of China's economic policy effects, and in recent years, they have written the main report of the "Blue Book of China's Economy" series and a large number of other policy evaluation and analysis reports, and published many academic papers. This book brings together the main macroeconomic models currently in use by the project team. These models try to reflect the latest frontier of macroeconomic modeling technology in the world, and closely combine the characteristics of China's economic operation, use Chinese data, construct China's macroeconomic model, conduct economic prediction and analysis, quantitatively simulate and evaluate the effects of several important economic policies, and provide reference for economic policy formulation. This book includes the following ten important economic models: China's macroeconomic annual model, China's macroeconomic quarterly cointegration model, China's macroeconomic quarterly GVAR model, global GVAR model, China's generational overlapping CGE model, China's micro-simulation and CGE connection model, China's economic DSGE model, the mathematical model of population aging affecting China's economic growth potential, China's economy-energy-environment dynamic CGE model (CN3EM), and China's 3E-CGE model. In terms of economic forecasting and economic policy evaluation, the applications covered in this book mainly include: annual, quarterly and medium- and long-term economic forecasting; Simulation of the effects of fiscal and taxation reform and income distribution policies; simulation of monetary policy effects; simulations of international spillovers from economic shocks or economic policies; Simulation of energy and environmental policy effects, etc. This book is the result of collective research, and the authors of each chapter are as follows: Chapter 1, Lou Feng, Shen Lisheng; Chapter II, Liu Xiaofei and Zhang Yanqun; Chapter 3, Zhang Tao and Gong Shuxin; Chapter 4, Zhang Yanqun; Chapter 5, Wang Li; Chapter 6, Wan Xiangyu; Chapter 7, Li Xuesong and Wang Xiuli; Chapter VIII, Li Jun; Chapter 9, Zhang Youguo; Chapter 10, Lou Feng. At present, China's economy is in a critical stage of comprehensively deepening reform, and it is urgent to strengthen the construction of new think tanks with Chinese characteristics. We hope that the publication of this book will further deepen the research on China's macroeconomic model and economic policy evaluation, and contribute to the scientific decision-making of China's macroeconomic regulation and reform. Due to the author's limited knowledge, it is inevitable that there will be improprieties or even errors in the book, and readers from all walks of life are kindly requested to criticize and correct. Li Xuesong in Beijing in March 2016（AI翻译）
