全球技术进步放缓下中国经济新动能：从政府主导的模仿赶超到市场激励相容的创新引领

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全球技术进步放缓下中国经济新动能：从政府主导的模仿赶超到市场激励相容的创新引领

CHINA'S NEW ECONOMIC MOMENTUM IN THE SLOWDOWN OF GLOBAL TECHNOLOGICAL PROGRESS:FROM GOVERNMENT-LED IMITATIVE CATCH-UP TO MARKET INCENTIVES COMPATIBLE INNOVATION LEADS

作者：

刘凤良于泽闫衍

分类：

经济学发展经济学管理经济学生态经济学

关键词：

中国经济可持续发展战略研究

出版日期：2018-08-01

ISBN：978-7-5161-9823-0

页数：165

点击量：3

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内容简介
书籍目录
参考文献

内容简介

2011年以来，中国经济面临的下行压力主要是长期潜在增长率下滑。这其中主要原因是技术模仿空间缩小和第一次系统性改革的红利逐渐减弱。基于中国国情，并借鉴国际经验，近期我们应着力于实现下面几项新旧动能的转换：（1）以技术前沿创新代替技术模仿；（2）以人口质量红利代替人口数量红利；（3）以技术创新导向的民间资本设备投资取代政府主导的基础设施投资；（4）以质量提升为导向的农业现代化和深度工业化代替原来数量扩张为导向的农业产业化和工业化；（5）以攀升国际价值链的新型开放和提升国内居民消费水平取代外需的数量扩张；（6）以城市群一体化为代表的深度城市化代替简单数量增加的城市化；（7）以新一轮结构性改革红利提升原有改革红利。实现这7大动能转换，技术创新是先导，改革是手段。最为根本的是构建与新动能激励相容的体制机制，激励市场主体和政府行为与新动能相一致。

The downward pressure on China's economy since 2011 is mainly due to the decline of long-term potential growth rate.The main reasons for this are mainly due to the shrinking of technology imitation space and the diminishing dividend of the first systemic reform.Based on China's national conditions and drawing on the international experience,we should focus on realizing the transformation of economic growth sources in the following aspects:（1）replacing the technology imitation with technological innovation;（2）replacing demographic dividends with demographic quality dividends;（3）replacing the government-led infrastructure investment with innovation-oriented private equipment investment;（4）replacing the original quantitative expansion-oriented agricultural industrialization and industrialization with the quality-oriented agricultural modernization and deep industrialization;（5）climbing international value chain and increasing domestic consumption to replace the quantitative expansion of external demand;（6）the integration of urban groups to replace the simple increase in the number of urbanization rate;（7）a new round of structural reform.To realize these new economic growth sources,technological innovation is the guide,the reform is the foundation.Technological innovation is the forerunner,and the reform is the method.The most fundamental is to build an incentive mechanism compatible with the new economic growth sources,and to encourage market players and government to be consistent with new economic growth sources.

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