图书
2008年全球金融危机冲击后,中国经济增长逐步告别了两位数的高速增长,2016年经济增长率为6.7%,2017年预计保持在6.5%左右的水平,中国经济增长进入个位数增长,保持在6%—7%的增长区间,呈现中高速增长态势,并正逐步迈向中高端发展。经济增长的理论逻辑和国际经验表明,一国经济迈向中高端发展需要持续的效率改进,即劳动效率改进和全要素生产率贡献比重的提升。在工业化时期,高速增长基本上同步伴随着效率的改善,但经济结构进入服务化后,这两个伴随出现了非同步,甚至增长与效率改善无关的现象。基于此,中国未来的经济增长是在保持经济平稳的基础上,深化供给侧结构性改革,加快效率提升模式的重塑,推动中国经济进入中高端发展。
After the impact of the global financial crisis in 2008, China's economic growth gradually said goodbye to the double-digit high-speed growth, and the economic growth rate was 6.7% in 2016, and is expected to remain at the level of about 6.5% in 2017, China's economic growth has entered the single-digit growth, and remained in the growth range of 6%-7%, showing a medium- to high-speed growth trend, and it is gradually moving towards the medium- to high-end Development. The theoretical logic of economic growth and international experience show that a country's economy moving towards medium- to high-end development requires sustained efficiency improvements, i.e., improvements in labour efficiency and an increase in the proportion of total factor productivity contributions. During the period of industrialisation, high-speed growth was basically accompanied by efficiency improvement in parallel, but after the economic structure entered into servicification, these two concomitants appeared to be asynchronous, or even the phenomenon that growth was not related to efficiency improvement. Based on this, China's future economic growth is to deepen the supply-side structural reform on the basis of maintaining a stable economy, accelerating the reshaping of the efficiency improvement model, and pushing China's economy into the mid-to-high-end development.
中国共产党西部开发思想研究
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